Black Friday intelligence/2026 edition

The 35%
Club.

We skip the loud banners. An item gets on this board only when the retailer's own sale price sits at least 35% below its listed reference price — and every card shows the math.

Independent deal research. Retailer reference prices aren't necessarily the lowest historical prices. Checkout prices and stock can change.

9Live qualifying deals
50%Largest verified drop*
46%Average discount on board
3Retailers with matches
The deal board

Only the big drops.

Every listing is cleared against the retailer's published regular or “was” price. Open Show the math on any card to see the calculation and the evidence. Nothing under 35% appears.

Showing 9 of 9 qualifying offersPrices last checked Nov 10, 4:15 AM ET
50%OFF
Tools
The Home Depot

DEWALT 20V Brushless Oscillating Multi-Tool Kit

$99.00Reference price $199.00SAVE $100.00
You pay 50% of ref.35% line
Show the math
($199.00 − $99.00) ÷ $199.00 = 50.25%
Listed as 50% (rounded down)Retailer lists model DCS356M1 for $99.00 against $199.00.
Checked Nov 10, 4:00 AM ET · Evidence: The Home Depot ↗
Verified · expires in 23h
View deal
50%OFF
Toys
Target

Toy Story 5 Ultimate Action Woody Figure (16-inch)

$39.99Reference price $79.99SAVE $40.00
You pay 50% of ref.35% line
Show the math
($79.99 − $39.99) ÷ $79.99 = 50.01%
Listed as 50% (rounded down)Retailer lists sale price $39.99, regular $79.99 for Woody action figure.
Checked Nov 10, 4:00 AM ET · Evidence: Target ↗
Verified · expires in 23h
View deal
49%OFF
Tools
The Home Depot

Milwaukee M18 XC Starter Kit: 2 Batteries + Charger

$199.00Reference price $397.00SAVE $198.00
You pay 50% of ref.35% line
Show the math
($397.00 − $199.00) ÷ $397.00 = 49.87%
Listed as 49% (rounded down)Retailer lists $199.00 and $397.00 against model 48-59-1852B.
Checked Nov 10, 4:00 AM ET · Evidence: The Home Depot ↗
Verified · expires in 23h
View deal
46%OFF
Tools
The Home Depot

Milwaukee M12 XC 4.0Ah Battery Pack (2-Pack)

$79.00Reference price $149.00SAVE $70.00
You pay 53% of ref.35% line
Show the math
($149.00 − $79.00) ÷ $149.00 = 46.98%
Listed as 46% (rounded down)Retailer lists model 48-11-2442 at $79.00 against $149.00.
Checked Nov 10, 4:00 AM ET · Evidence: The Home Depot ↗
Verified · expires in 23h
View deal
46%OFF
Tools
The Home Depot

Husky 3/8-inch Drive Torque Wrench

$49.97Reference price $93.97SAVE $44.00
You pay 53% of ref.35% line
Show the math
($93.97 − $49.97) ÷ $93.97 = 46.82%
Listed as 46% (rounded down)Retailer lists model H3DTWA at $49.97 against $93.97.
Checked Nov 10, 4:00 AM ET · Evidence: The Home Depot ↗
Verified · expires in 23h
View deal
45%OFF
Home
The Home Depot

LG 28-cu-ft French Door Refrigerator with Craft Ice

$1,699.00Reference price $3,099.00SAVE $1,400.00
You pay 55% of ref.35% line
Show the math
($3,099.00 − $1,699.00) ÷ $3,099.00 = 45.18%
Listed as 45% (rounded down)Retailer lists model LHFS28XBS at $1,699.00 against $3,099.00.
Checked Nov 10, 4:00 AM ET · Evidence: The Home Depot ↗
Verified · expires in 23h
View deal
44%OFF
Electronics
Crutchfield

LG C6 OLED evo 55-inch 4K TV

$999.99Reference price $1,799.99SAVE $800.00
You pay 56% of ref.35% line
Show the math
($1,799.99 − $999.99) ÷ $1,799.99 = 44.44%
Listed as 44% (rounded down)Retailer lists $1,799.99 was price and $999.99 current price; 55-inch option.
Checked Nov 10, 4:00 AM ET · Evidence: Crutchfield ↗
Verified · expires in 23h
View deal
40%OFF
Toys
Target

Toy Story 5 Ultimate Action Buzz Lightyear (12-inch)

$47.99Reference price $79.99SAVE $32.00
You pay 60% of ref.35% line
Show the math
($79.99 − $47.99) ÷ $79.99 = 40.01%
Listed as 40% (rounded down)Retailer lists $47.99 sale against $79.99 regular price.
Checked Nov 10, 4:00 AM ET · Evidence: Target ↗
Verified · expires in 23h
View deal
40%OFF
Toys
Target

Disney Pixar Toy Story Slinky Dog Pull-Along Toy

$11.99Reference price $19.99SAVE $8.00
You pay 60% of ref.35% line
Show the math
($19.99 − $11.99) ÷ $19.99 = 40.02%
Listed as 40% (rounded down)Retailer lists $11.99 sale against $19.99 regular price.
Checked Nov 10, 4:00 AM ET · Evidence: Target ↗
Verified · expires in 23h
View deal

* “Verified drop” means calculated from the merchant's displayed reference and sale prices — not an independent 90-day price-history audit. Percentages are rounded down, so 49.87% shows as 49%. Listings drop off automatically 24 hours after their last successful check. Prices exclude tax, shipping, membership terms and checkout-only coupons.

Brand watch

Brands worth watching.

Where each brand's real markdowns tend to show up, and the trick to watch for. Follow the ones you care about and the board will flag their deals and let you filter to just them.

Following 0 brands · saved in this browser only
Apparel & Footwear

Nike

Sometimes clears 35%
Where it shows up
Older colorways and last season's styles, on Nike.com and at sporting-goods stores.
Watch out
“Extra % off sale styles” offers usually need a code or a member sign-in. That makes them conditional, so they don't count here.
Nothing qualifying right now
Retailers

Best Buy

Often clears 35%
Where it shows up
TVs, laptops, headphones and appliances across its early, Black Friday and Cyber Monday events (see the calendar below).
Watch out
Member-only prices and open-box listings are conditional or not new, so they don't count.
Nothing qualifying right now
Tools

Milwaukee

Often clears 35%
Where it shows up
Battery + charger starter kits and combo kits, especially at The Home Depot.
Watch out
“Free tool with kit” promos aren’t a percent off. They only land here if the kit price itself drops 35%.
2 live on the board
Gap Inc.

Gap

Often clears 35%
Where it shows up
Gap, GapKids, babyGap, Gap Maternity, GapBody, GapFit and GapStudio, during frequent site-wide events.
Watch out
Headline percentages often need a checkout code, or apply only to full-price styles. Check the item's own sale price.
Nothing qualifying right now
TVs & Appliances

LG

Often clears 35%
Where it shows up
OLED C-series TVs, plus refrigerators and laundry during appliance events.
Watch out
Retailer-specific model codes can differ from the reviewed model. Match the full model number.
2 live on the board
Outdoor

The North Face

Sometimes clears 35%
Where it shows up
Past-season jackets and fleece at The North Face and outdoor and sporting-goods stores.
Watch out
XPLR Pass member pricing is conditional. Colorway matters too: the discounted color is often not the one in the photo.
Nothing qualifying right now
Retailers

Dick's Sporting Goods

Often clears 35%
Where it shows up
Past-season apparel and footwear, fitness equipment and outdoor gear, including Nike and The North Face.
Watch out
ScoreCard member pricing and in-cart discounts are conditional. Only the posted shelf price counts.
Nothing qualifying right now
Toys

Disney / Pixar

Often clears 35%
Where it shows up
Toy Story 5 figures and playsets, especially at Target.
Watch out
Character toys come in many near-identical sizes. Confirm the inch size and edition.
3 live on the board
Outdoor

Patagonia

Rarely clears 35%
Where it shows up
Patagonia doesn't run Black Friday sales on its own site. Markdowns show up at outdoor retailers, mostly on past-season colors.
Watch out
Worn Wear (used gear) is cheaper, but it isn't a discount on a new item, so it never qualifies here.
Nothing qualifying right now
Apparel & Footwear

Hollister

Abercrombie & Fitch Co.
Often clears 35%
Where it shows up
Site-wide and category events on jeans, hoodies, graphic tees and Gilly Hicks loungewear.
Watch out
“Up to 50% off” covers a range. Check the individual item's own price pair, because many land well under the headline.
Nothing qualifying right now
Apparel & Footwear

Coach

Tapestry
Sometimes clears 35%
Where it shows up
Coach's sale section, and Coach Outlet's near-constant markdowns.
Watch out
Coach Outlet carries made-for-outlet styles. An outlet “was” price isn't the boutique price of a similar bag.
Nothing qualifying right now
Gap Inc.

Old Navy

Often clears 35%
Where it shows up
Doorbuster-priced basics: fleece, jeans, pajamas, kids' and baby, plus outlet locations.
Watch out
Big “50% off” events can be measured against prices that are rarely charged. Use the lowest-price check in Deal Check below.
Nothing qualifying right now
Apparel & Footwear

Quince

Rarely clears 35%
Where it shows up
Low everyday prices. Occasional markdowns on discontinued colors.
Watch out
Quince's “traditional retail” figure compares its price to other brands. It isn't Quince's own former price, so it never counts as a reference price here.
Nothing qualifying right now
Tools

DEWALT

Often clears 35%
Where it shows up
20V MAX kits, oscillating and impact tools at Home Depot, Lowe’s and Amazon.
Watch out
Same tool, different kit. Check battery Ah and what’s in the box before you compare prices.
1 live on the board
TVs & Appliances

Samsung

Often clears 35%
Where it shows up
TVs, monitors, storage and kitchen appliances.
Watch out
Doorbuster TVs can be derivative models with different panels or fewer ports than the flagship line.
Nothing qualifying right now
Gap Inc.

Athleta

Sometimes clears 35%
Where it shows up
Leggings, outerwear and last season's colors in the sale section.
Watch out
Athleta has no factory line. A deep cut here is usually a real markdown on a discontinued color or style.
Nothing qualifying right now
Gap Inc.

Banana Republic

Sometimes clears 35%
Where it shows up
Sweaters, outerwear and suiting during seasonal events.
Watch out
Promotions often exclude new arrivals and cashmere. Read the fine print on the specific item.
Nothing qualifying right now
Gap Inc.

Gap Factory

Often clears 35%
Where it shows up
Gap Factory and Gap Outlet stores and site, with deep percentage events through much of the year.
Watch out
Gap Inc. describes its factory lines as “exclusively designed collections.” They aren't the same items as at Gap, so don't compare across stores.
Nothing qualifying right now
Gap Inc.

Banana Republic Factory

Often clears 35%
Where it shows up
Banana Republic Factory stores and site, with frequent site-wide percentage events.
Watch out
Factory merchandise is made for the factory channel. Compare it to other factory prices, not to Banana Republic mainline.
Nothing qualifying right now
Audio & TV

Sony

Sometimes clears 35%
Where it shows up
Previous-generation headphones and TVs once newer models are out.
Watch out
Current-generation flagships usually see smaller cuts than the older model sitting next to them.
Nothing qualifying right now
Tech

Apple

Rarely clears 35%
Where it shows up
Older AirPods models are the usual exception.
Watch out
iPhone deals tied to carrier activation, trade-ins or gift cards don’t count. There’s no clean price pair.
Nothing qualifying right now
Home

Dyson

Sometimes clears 35%
Where it shows up
Cordless vacuums and hair tools, often sold as bundles.
Watch out
Retailer-exclusive configurations exist. Compare the included attachments, not only the model name.
Nothing qualifying right now
Home

KitchenAid

Sometimes clears 35%
Where it shows up
Stand mixers and small kitchen appliances.
Watch out
Holiday mixers are often a different series or bowl size than the one you priced in October.
Nothing qualifying right now
Home

Ninja / Shark

Often clears 35%
Where it shows up
Air fryers, blenders, robot and stick vacuums.
Watch out
Their reference prices move a lot during the year. A “was” price may be a recent high.
Nothing qualifying right now
Toys

LEGO

Rarely clears 35%
Where it shows up
Older sets at third-party stores like Target, Walmart and Amazon.
Watch out
Brand-store promos lean on gifts with purchase and Insider points, which aren’t a price drop.
Nothing qualifying right now
Tools

Husky

Sometimes clears 35%
Where it shows up
Hand tools, torque wrenches and mechanics sets, sold only at The Home Depot.
Watch out
A store brand’s reference price is set by the store itself. Compare against similar sets from other brands.
1 live on the board

About the ratings: “Often / Sometimes / Rarely clears 35%” is CDG’s editorial read on how these brands have been discounted in past holiday seasons. It isn’t a forecast or a price guarantee, and it never decides what goes on the board. Only verified retailer price pairs do that.

Sale calendar

When the sales run.

Announced 2026 sale windows for the big retailers, on one timeline. Faded edges mean the retailer hasn't announced an end date yet. Dates only. A sale window isn't proof of a 35% deal.

Running now

  • Loading…

Source: 9to5Toys — Black Friday 2026 sale schedule (Nov 4, 2026) ↗. Retailers can change or extend events. Confirm on the retailer's site before you plan around a date.

All dates as a list
  • The Home Depot — Black Friday Savings Event: Nov 5 – Nov 25
  • The Home Depot — Appliance deals start: Nov 26
  • The Home Depot — Black Friday Doorbusters: Nov 27
  • The Home Depot — Cyber Monday deals: Nov 30
  • Target — Deals of the Day → Early Black Friday: Nov 1 → end TBA (Deals of the Day from Nov 1; Early Black Friday sale from Nov 5)
  • Best Buy — Early Black Friday + Doorbusters: Nov 6 → end TBA
  • Best Buy — Black Friday: Nov 19 – Nov 28
  • Best Buy — Cyber Monday: Nov 29 – Nov 30
  • Walmart — Early Black Friday: Nov 12 – Nov 15
  • Walmart — Black Friday: Nov 23 – Nov 29
  • Walmart — Cyber Monday: Nov 30 – Dec 2
  • Costco — Early Black Friday: Oct 30 → end TBA
  • Costco — Thanksgiving deals (online): Nov 26
  • Sam’s Club — Countdown to Black Friday: Nov 15 – Nov 25
  • Sam’s Club — Black Friday: Nov 26 – Nov 29
  • LEGO — Insiders Weekend: Nov 21 – Nov 22
  • LEGO — Black Friday sale: Nov 27 – Nov 30
  • Amazon — Not officially announced as of Nov 4.
Deal check

Check any deal.

Found something we haven't listed? Enter the prices and run the same test we use. Add the lowest price you've seen to find out whether the “was” price tells the whole story.

Try:
Enter two prices
—
You pay —35% line
  • You save—
  • Sale price needed to clear 35%—
  • Discount vs. lowest you've seen—

We round down, never up: 34.99% is a cut, not a 35%.

The CDG standard

Trust the math.
Not the banner.

“50% off” is a claim. A good deal is evidence: a specific product, the retailer's current price, and the retailer's reference price — computed, never copied from an ad.

  • “Up to X% off” category banners
  • Percent-only announcements without a price pair
  • Coupon stacking, BOGO and membership-only pricing
  • Deal-blog claims without a matching retailer page
  • Anything older than 24 hours without a fresh check
01

Watch wide.

Specialist deal feeds, retailer sale pages and Black Friday ad coverage surface candidates. Headlines are leads, not proof — they go to a review queue, never straight to the board.

02

Check the pair.

One exact product or model number. The retailer's current price and its reference price, both on the retailer's own domain. Discount = (reference − sale) ÷ reference × 100, in exact decimal math.

03

35% or out.

Rounded down, never up. Evidence expires after 24 hours; a failed or blocked recheck doesn't renew it. An empty board beats a stale one.

ListedReference $199.00
Sale      $99.00
(199 − 99) ÷ 199 = 50.25%→ shows as 50%
CutReference $100.00
Sale      $65.10
(100 − 65.10) ÷ 100 = 34.90%→ never shown
Fine print, plainly

Questions.

Why only 35% and up?

It's high enough to filter out routine markdowns that show up all year, and low enough that real doorbusters on tools, TVs, appliances and toys still clear it. The line is hard: 34.99% is cut.

Does a 50% “verified drop” mean it's a great price?

It means the retailer's own sale price is half its own listed reference price. Retailers sometimes inflate reference prices, so this isn't a price-history audit. Compare at another store before buying anything big.

Why would the board ever be empty?

Each listing's evidence lasts 24 hours. If a recheck can't confirm the same price pair on the retailer's page — because the price changed, the item sold out, or the page blocked the check — the listing comes off rather than staying up on stale data. Recently expired items stay below the board, clearly marked as unverified.

Are these affiliate links?

No. Deal links currently carry no affiliate tracking. If that ever changes, it'll be disclosed here and in the footer.

Where are my saved deals stored?

Only in this browser, on this device. There's no account, no cookies and no analytics on this page.

An actual 35% off. Or nothing.

Black Friday 2026 is Friday, November 27. Early promotions can qualify too — they just have to clear the same price test.